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re: Hamas announces Iran will now be their ‘largest backer’ of military and financial aid
Posted on 8/30/17 at 8:42 am to Loserman
Posted on 8/30/17 at 8:42 am to Loserman
quote:
There is no deal here.
Obama gave everything away. We actually have zero recourse if they don't comply.
That's not the problem with the deal. The problem is that it was written in a way that allows room for varying interpretations. Meaning the US could feasibly argue that Iran isn't following it while Iran can feasibly argue that they are. It's the kind of deal that functions more like a pretext to war thanna truly diplomatic action. I'm fairly confident that wasn't unintentional.
The US has sanctioned Iran for decades and nothing good comes from it. Probably the only notable impact of the sanctions has been to completely isolated Iran from US diplomatic akd economic efforts and policy. The snap back provisions would really only matter if Iranians are allowed to build enough economic activity around the lifted sanctions that it will matter if it "snaps back". We aren't even close to that now. In fact, we were closer to it in the sanctions riddled Bush and Ahmadinajad era than we ever were under Obama or trump.
The US primary leverage over Iran is via potential kinetic action like airstrikes or ground war or subversion of their regional operations. The latter being something the US has failed miserably at since 2001. In fact Iran is far more influential since 2001. Which is hilarious.
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