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re: Let's discuss the Monty Hall problem (probabilities, odds)
Posted on 8/12/17 at 9:57 am to Nado Jenkins83
Posted on 8/12/17 at 9:57 am to Nado Jenkins83
quote:Tell me where this is incorrect.
I dont buy that the odds don't change
3 options, you choose door 1 each time, you switch every time:
1. Car is behind door 1, you switch you lose
2. Car is behind door 2, you switch you win
3. Car is behind door 3, you switch you win
Posted on 8/12/17 at 11:22 am to shel311
quote:
Tell me where this is incorrect. 3 options, you choose door 1 each time, you switch every time: 1. Car is behind door 1, you switch you lose 2. Car is behind door 2, you switch you win 3. Car is behind door 3, you switch you win
Because the way the problem was stated, you picked door #1 and door #3 was opened, so the car is not behind door #3, leaving only the first two sçenarios, which shows the odds to be 50%.
If the problem is worded that you choose a door and the host opens a door to reveal a goat, it's a different scenario. That's not what the problems states as given in the OP.
This post was edited on 8/12/17 at 11:25 am
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