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re: Let's discuss the Monty Hall problem (probabilities, odds)

Posted on 8/12/17 at 9:56 am to
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
111707 posts
Posted on 8/12/17 at 9:56 am to
quote:

this is why i make money playing poker (made my return last night after almost a month off)

Right. I love poker but never got way into it. If you throw every emotion out the window and play strictly on the math(if you know the math obviously) you'll be successful in the long run playing at lower levels or random casino games(meant to say, not playing the pros)


This is essentially a math equation. I'd never know it without it being explained. BUt now that I do I know it's not a theory, it's a proven fact that switching gives you a 2in 3 chance of being correct.
This post was edited on 8/12/17 at 9:57 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
432331 posts
Posted on 8/12/17 at 9:59 am to
actually playing by the math (as in GTO) is more required for playing against experts

but basic math and an understanding that donks want to gamble will print money long term. you just have to deal with variance and minimize bad runs/losses. i would add in "maximize wins" but i'm coming off a bad run and am playing like a pussy right now and don't want to false advertise

quote:

This is essentially a math equation. I'd never know it without it being explained. BUt now that I do I know it's not a theory, it's a proven fact that switching gives you a 2in 3 chance of being correct.

there used to be (probably still exist) websites that let you run simulations of this problem
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