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re: Tornado! Threat Clearing Louisiana

Posted on 4/26/17 at 2:10 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141639 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

So far this system has fallen well below expectations as far as severity and organization, mostly just a rain dumper at this point. Someone with more resources help me out here - are conditions still ripe for intensification at any time, or was it a little bit of a miss all around?

if I'm reading things right... the main line is just now moving into the area where things could get really severe

let's see how things pan out from here to nightfall and beyond

others can correct me if I'm wrong though
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 2:20 pm to
The 18z SHV sounding showed that the cap has weakened a great deal. 12z had a "cap" reading of -364 and 18z only showed -5. However, forcing along the front has been strong enough to fire a solid line of storms all the way down into central E. Texas. Any discrete cells that fire across N. Louisiana will have tornadic potential but the risk certainly appears to be decreasing. There could still be brief spin ups in the main line as it moves through.
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