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re: Westbrook Scored tMost Points in a Triple Double in NBA History

Posted on 3/30/17 at 11:31 am to
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35308 posts
Posted on 3/30/17 at 11:31 am to
quote:

I'm not a professional statistician but the odds gotta be worse than 1 in 10,000. Maybe someone can assist.
It's essentially impossible to truly quantify those odds since there are so many potential scenarios, and even it you just focused on the likely scenarios, it would require assumptions based on a limited sample of previous voting patterns, that are not equally applicable from year to year.

So we can maybe narrow it down to 10 potential candidates to get a vote, estimate the likelihood that each one would get a vote each one of the 5 places, and then do a bunch of simulations (say 100,000) and see how many times it results in a tie.
This post was edited on 3/30/17 at 11:33 am
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59734 posts
Posted on 3/30/17 at 11:36 am to
Yep. The number of possible ballots is endless. Even if you say only 10 players will receive any votes and 6 of those player will receive only 5th place votes the chances of it ending up tied with over 100 pollsters is minuscule.


This post was edited on 3/30/17 at 11:38 am
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