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re: UF Series Takeaways

Posted on 3/27/17 at 7:26 pm to
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85530 posts
Posted on 3/27/17 at 7:26 pm to
More runs are generated over the course of a game if you never bunt. In other words while you are more likely to score with a bunt, giving up the out isn't worth it because it lessens the chance of a multi run inning, which, in the end, means more games won. But at the end of the game, when only one run is needed a bunt is the statistically better play that eventually leads to a tie/win.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
128380 posts
Posted on 3/27/17 at 8:00 pm to
I didn't interpret Groupee's comment to include multiple runs being scored, just one run.

So, as I understand his comment, the chance of scoring ONE run is higher if there is a runner on second with no outs than there is if there is a runner on third with one out.

If true, that's an interesting stat that I've never heard before.
Posted by Drakeo1990
Member since Mar 2015
308 posts
Posted on 3/28/17 at 8:05 am to
quote:

But at the end of the game, when only one run is needed a bunt is the statistically better play that eventually leads to a tie/win.


IE....Florida's one run on Friday night.

I also think not having to use anyone in the bullpen on Friday night had a good bit to do with going for the win.
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