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re: Awe look, it's a poll on CNN... Smart people trust the media over Trump
Posted on 2/23/17 at 9:00 am to NC_Tigah
Posted on 2/23/17 at 9:00 am to NC_Tigah
quote:Well I would expect better from you and wouldn't just default to such an absolute conclusion.
Any newsoutlet publishing this garbage and representing it as even marginally accurate should fire any responsible elements of its production team and management.
For example, here are the demographics from the exit polling election day.
Pew Voter Demographics
And here is the party affiliation breakdown:
quote:So the Democrats in the Quinnipiac poll are consistent with that.
Republican 31%
Democrat 34%
Independent 30%
On the other hand, Republicans are -6% and Independents are +3%, but there are a couple things to consider.
1. Registered voter surveys tend to favor Democrats moreso than likely voter surveys and actually voting behavior. Of course, with no election in the horizon an RV survey is the only option. So we would expect that D +3 advantage to increase.
2. Party affiliation is fluid, and Republicans have appeared to become more likely to identify as Independents. Party Affiliation Trends
Not including leaners:
![](https://assets.pewresearch.org/charts/20057454/rc4JpchD.png)
Including leaners:
![](https://assets.pewresearch.org/charts/20057455/7TkZ7nG9.png)
But regardless of how one considers leaners and Independents, the Ds have had a +9 overall advantage.
3. The whole DK/NA category complicates it. Are those traditionally Republicans? Who knows.
In other words, the demographic breakdown is about as expected given the RV methodology and the overall party affiliation. The one complication is the DK/NA category.
Either way, it's ridiculous to default to the conclusion in your post.
This post was edited on 2/23/17 at 9:14 am
Posted on 2/23/17 at 11:14 am to buckeye_vol
You really don't know how to do the old angry white southerner thing, do you?
and then you use actual numbers and data.
terrible
and then you use actual numbers and data.
terrible
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