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re: if you had to bet the farm on the NFC Championship

Posted on 1/18/17 at 1:24 pm to
Posted by flyAU
Scottsdale
Member since Dec 2010
24878 posts
Posted on 1/18/17 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

ViewFromVegas of NFC and AFC Championship Games (as of 2 p.m. ET Wednesday): Atlanta has been steadily increased to a 4.5-point home favorite despite Green Bay getting most of the public support (offshore books as well as the South Point and William Hill books in Vegas have even gone to -5). The over/under has also risen to 61 points.


Why is this happening if public support is behind GB? My knowledge of lines moving is very basic.
This post was edited on 1/18/17 at 1:26 pm
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30380 posts
Posted on 1/18/17 at 1:29 pm to
quote:



Why is this happening if public support is behind GB? My knowledge of lines moving is very basic.


It's called reverse line movement.

Likely means the % of bets on Green Bay is higher, but there is more money coming in for Atlanta. Meaning the people betting big are betting the Falcons.

Example: There are 1,000 bets on the game thus far. 900 of them are for Green Bay at $50 each. The remaining 100 bets are on the Falcons for $1,000 each.

Packers are getting 90% of the bets, but Atlanta is getting nearly 70% of the money.

Vegas raises the Atlanta line to incentivize betting on the Packers so the money can potentially be more evenly distributed.
This post was edited on 1/18/17 at 1:34 pm
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