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re: WaPo: Russia has invited TRUMP to Syrian Peace Talks

Posted on 1/13/17 at 7:18 pm to
Posted by MrCarton
Paradise Valley, MT
Member since Dec 2009
20231 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 7:18 pm to
quote:

For the most part, the US has most of the region as allies. Certainly, it has the most powerful countries in the region as allies.

If the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is no longer an ally, the. Several other countries in the region will follow. Granted, the ME is not a center of peace and harmony... But it could be shite tons worse. And the first pound of getting to that shite ton starts with the loss of SA as a somewhat reliable partner in the region.


So where is the "shite hits the fan" part?

"the reason we need to ally with Saudi Arabia is *your answer here*. If Saudi and the us break the alliance *insert consequence here*. The reason this consequence is bad for the US is *Insert analysis here*"

i made a shell for you.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 7:21 pm to
Should make this exact same template for Israel. People always talk about how we need them as an ally in the region (let's assume, for the sake of the discussion, they actually are an ally). I'd like to see why we need any allys in the region. Why do we even need to be there?
Posted by Floating Change Up
Member since Dec 2013
11868 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 7:30 pm to
Sorry, I'm on my phone and don't feel like typing a thesis. But simply put, the GCC will stick together. So if SA declines to continue giving the US assistance in the region, other countries will follow suit. This will have both negative economic and peace impacts in the region. SA and UAE are both very concerned about a stronger Iran.

Having Russia aligned with Iran and Syria... SA and other GCC countries are very concerned. They do not want a stronger Iran. Our presence in SA, UAE, Qatar, and Jordan could all be reduced to nothing. If that happens, I would expect Russia to assert more effort to increase control of the region.

That could start a whole new round of violence in the region that makes Aleppo seem like the Falklamds.
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