re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

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12z Operational ECMWF model with 500MB features. Note the huge heat ridge that steers the potential strong hurricane further west. I repeat my suspicion that the storm will be forced to take a more westward path until the subtropical high erodes. Two complications here. Wind and surge with a large and slow moving powerful circulation. And of course heavy rainfall, which if the system comes in on the west side of LA (say Sabine Pass), could prove to be a debacle. I will also say that the possibility exists for a stall upon landfall, IF the ridging is intact and northern shortwave energy does not crease the anticyclone.

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