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re: College Football Week 1/Futures Bet Thread

Posted on 8/30/16 at 9:21 am to
Posted by bamaatlsu
Dallas
Member since Mar 2007
5068 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 9:21 am to
quote:

Concerns me a great deal that the Clemson/Auburn line hasn't moved but 1/2 a point since it came out with over 70% of bets being on Clemson. I hopped on it when it came out and it's got me nervous.




I hear ya. If this were week 8 or 9, I'd be all over the underdog in this situation. However, I agree with the poster above that Auburn is getting a lot of love for being a talented SEC team playing at home. But that talent didn't turn into results last year, and I dont expect it to this year, either. Sure, Sean White has another year in the system. But, they're playing against the most explosive offense in the country (arguably). Clemson ran roughshod through Bama's defense, so I dont think Auburn (even though their DL is very talented) and Kevin Steele are going to slow them down. I dont think Auburn keeps up. I bought the half point a few weeks back, so all I need is a TD.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 9:35 am to
quote:

I hear ya. If this were week 8 or 9, I'd be all over the underdog in this situation. However, I agree with the poster above that Auburn is getting a lot of love for being a talented SEC team playing at home. But that talent didn't turn into results last year, and I dont expect it to this year, either. Sure, Sean White has another year in the system. But, they're playing against the most explosive offense in the country (arguably). Clemson ran roughshod through Bama's defense, so I dont think Auburn (even though their DL is very talented) and Kevin Steele are going to slow them down. I dont think Auburn keeps up. I bought the half point a few weeks back, so all I need is a TD.


Couldn't have said it better myself. I am usually the first one all over an underdog that is not getting any love by the public. Great example last year was Louisville on a Thursday night at home vs. Clemson, line was 7.5 I believe just like this one. Louisville covers. However the situations were completely different. Louisville was coming off 2 losses to start the year, Clemson had won their first two games pretty easily. All signs pointed to Clemson, public all over Clemson, so I played Louisville. But this year is different. This isn't Week 3, this isn't a Thursday night.

With that being said I won't be surprised if Auburn covers, in fact I expect it. My play on Clemson is stricly because I got the line at -7 and now its at -7.5 everywhere, and because I think the line should be 10, so I believe there is value.
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