re: College Football Week 1/Futures Bet Thread

quote:

---

Minnesota -13
Temple -17
Colorado St +7.5
Georgia Tech -3
Missouri +10
Washington -26
Iowa -27
UCLA +3
San Jose St +3.5
Clemson -7
Ole Miss +4

---

Just saw you asking for critique on page 1.

Minnesota -13: I think you waited a bit too late here. I still think Minnesota covers this one, I think they win by 14, but could have gotten this at 11 or 10 not too long ago.

Temple -17: You can get this under 17 at many shops.

Boise State -19.5: Bigger fan of this play under 20 than at 20 or over, but its still a tricky spot.

Missouri +10: I like this one, I bet it myself at 10

Washington -26: Sorry but I took Rutgers at +26.5 yesterday. Anything over 24 is Rutgers territory IMO.

Iowa -27: Waiting for this line to hit 28.5. I think there is +EV value on MIAMI OH at 28, but even more at 28.5. I honestly don't think this is a good bet for Iowa at anything over 24.

UCLA +3: I like this play, and have been waffling on pulling the trigger all week. Still haven't done it. This is one of those where the math says UCLA, but the gut says A&M. Bad taste in the mouth from Arizona State last year. They too were at +3 and got blown out. This UCLA team is better than that ASU team, but also has to play outdoors at Kyle Field.

San Jose State +3.5: Its at 5 now and is at 5.5 in some shops. Grab it. Good play.

Clemson -7: On this personally at -7... I hate playing big public road favorites but my spreadsheets say this one can not be ignored. I think Auburn is getting too much respect for being a SEC team playing at home. This line should be 10.

Ole Miss +4: On this at 4.5