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re: Hurricane Earl - Mexico Bound

Posted on 8/2/16 at 12:34 pm to
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/2/16 at 12:34 pm to
None of the models are giving it much of a chance. Saharan air kills it in the next 12-24 hours.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20187 posts
Posted on 8/2/16 at 5:02 pm to
quote:


None of the models are giving it much of a chance. Saharan air kills it in the next 12-24 hours.


It looks like it might make 36-48 hrs but the fate is the same. If you run a loop of NASA GEOS-5 Dust EAOT superimposed over Euro 850 vort then you can see it choke the wave out. The remnant vort can be tracked through the islands where it eventually dies.
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