re: SpaceX, Tesla & Solar City: Elon Musk's companies and their unique relationships

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who do you really think is going to end up dominant in that market?

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Whoever has the best lobbyist and contributes the most to campaigns?

I agree SpaceX should do well, but their future depends wholly on gov't policies, U.S. and foreign. If foreign and U.S. gov'ts choose another company to get the work, they will. Cost of the launch isn't the only factor. Other aerospace companies MUST succeed due to gov't dependence of their military products. Gov't may choose to subsidize competitor's commercial launches as well if they believe those funds will end up supporting development of military equipment.

I'm not saying SpaceX hasn't done some amazing things, I'm just pointing out the very, very high risk any company has whose future depends on domestic and foreign gov't policy, corruption, and often twisted logic when making purchasing decisions.

Hell, SpaceX could end up being the next Boeing, Lockheed, or Airbus if Congress decides it should.