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Message
Posted on 5/29/16 at 5:31 pm to Jwho77
I honestly think Lafayette is easily locked in as a host, unless the committee goes in heavily on the ACC and SEC, which I dont think is likely.
Miami, Florida, Texas A&M, Louisville, Miss State, Texas Tech, LSU, and Clemson the seeds.
South Carolina, Ole Miss, Florida State, Virginia, and TCU almost assuredly locked in.
That leaves 3 hosts for Arizona, Lafayette, Southern Miss, Coastal Carolina, North Carolina State, and a Big West team.
-Arizona is probably safe as a host. 22 RPI, 10-6 vs top 50, 41 SOS, 46 OOC SOS, will probably end season on a 6 game winning streak.
-Lafayette is 15th in RPI, won conference, 11-9 vs top 50, 22 SOS, 1 OOC SOS, won 10 games in a row.
-Southern Miss is 19th in RPI, 12-11 vs top 50, 27 SOS, 7 OOC SOS, won conference, 6-4 last 10.
-NC State is 10th in RPI, 19-17 vs top 50, 2 SOS, 23 OOC SOS, 3-7 last 10.
-Coastal Carolina is 13th in RPI, 7-8 vs top 50, 32 SOS, 4 OOC SOS, won conference, 10 wins in a row.
-UCSB is 24th in RPI, 3-2 vs top 50, 61 SOS, 33 OOC SOS, 13-11 in 8th best conference, 5-5 last 10.
In a perfect world, NC State, Lafayette, and Southern Miss would get the last three spots. I give Southern Miss the last spot over Coastal because of winning a better conference, and having a better record against the top 50.
We arent in a perfect world though. There will be a western host, so Arizona will take a spot, and as we've seen in the past, the committee will reward a smaller school for a great year. That, and already having 5 ACC hosts, gives both Lafayette and Southern Miss the nod over North Carolina State.
Miami, Florida, Texas A&M, Louisville, Miss State, Texas Tech, LSU, and Clemson the seeds.
South Carolina, Ole Miss, Florida State, Virginia, and TCU almost assuredly locked in.
That leaves 3 hosts for Arizona, Lafayette, Southern Miss, Coastal Carolina, North Carolina State, and a Big West team.
-Arizona is probably safe as a host. 22 RPI, 10-6 vs top 50, 41 SOS, 46 OOC SOS, will probably end season on a 6 game winning streak.
-Lafayette is 15th in RPI, won conference, 11-9 vs top 50, 22 SOS, 1 OOC SOS, won 10 games in a row.
-Southern Miss is 19th in RPI, 12-11 vs top 50, 27 SOS, 7 OOC SOS, won conference, 6-4 last 10.
-NC State is 10th in RPI, 19-17 vs top 50, 2 SOS, 23 OOC SOS, 3-7 last 10.
-Coastal Carolina is 13th in RPI, 7-8 vs top 50, 32 SOS, 4 OOC SOS, won conference, 10 wins in a row.
-UCSB is 24th in RPI, 3-2 vs top 50, 61 SOS, 33 OOC SOS, 13-11 in 8th best conference, 5-5 last 10.
In a perfect world, NC State, Lafayette, and Southern Miss would get the last three spots. I give Southern Miss the last spot over Coastal because of winning a better conference, and having a better record against the top 50.
We arent in a perfect world though. There will be a western host, so Arizona will take a spot, and as we've seen in the past, the committee will reward a smaller school for a great year. That, and already having 5 ACC hosts, gives both Lafayette and Southern Miss the nod over North Carolina State.
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