re: My lawn from hell. How do I fix this?

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Start off with 24-d. Don't spray round up. Looks like mostly broadleaf weeds and poa annua which will die with warmer temps. Kill the broadleafs and fertilize that shite.

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Correct, I would do this and likely hit it next spring with a weed and feed early, reapply 2,4-D if required.

Much easier than replacing what you have