re: For number crunchers...LSU projections for 2016 (and other noteworthy teams)

quote:

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If LSU is +9 and Bama is -1. Should we still lose by 4?

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I knew there'd be some of these posts when I posted it. The title clearly states for number crunchers and I thought it was interesting during the off season. I'm a numbers guy myself. It's my profession. While not always indicative of future success, it's a better success rate when it leans in your favor. Heck, that's how Vegas has broken people for eons. If you must go the smart aleck route, LSU lost 30-16, is a +9.4 for 2016 while Bama is a -1.6 for a combined spread of exactly 11.0 Bama played at home and Vegas gives Bama at minimum a 3 point home field advantage. That's exactly your 14 points plus the at minimum 3 point home field advantage from Vegas for the Tigers in 2016, which would be a 17 point swing from last year. LSU wins by 3 in this case. It means nothing. You were just being on of the jerks I knew would respond negatively. This post wasn't for you to either enjoy or understand. Move along, there's nothing here for you to see.