re: Alot going on in the Gulf. (Weather)

quote:

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Canadian model along with GFS ensemble indicating a surface low (1009 mb) forecast to develop southeast of Tampa by Friday. The low does not move much through 120 hours ( 00z Sunday). Moderate shear if 20 kts will probably inhibit tight organization and heat release will be spread out from thunderstorms. Rainfall over southwest fla and central fla with 5 day totals of 4-6 inches likely.

Would not think the low will deepen rapidly. Perhaps 1007 mb at best.

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