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re: What kind of degenerate bets on preseason games?

Posted on 8/14/15 at 5:40 pm to
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98485 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 5:40 pm to
I have absolutely nothing against gambling, although I confine my own speculation to the ponies. In preseason games, you don't know how long the starters are going to play, you don't know how hard they're trying to win, just way too many variables in an already uncertain proposition. For instance, last night in the Saints game, Baltimore won on the goal line when the Saints hadn't worked on their goal line defense in camp yet, according to the announcers. In a preseason game last year, one team went for a hail mary TD at the end of the game instead of the percentage play of kicking a FG to send it into Overtime. The coaches had seen enough and wanted to get home instead of playing the scrubs for another 15 minutes.

I guess I am sounding a little judgemental, but it seems to me you might as well just bet on the flip of a coin or some other random event. Under the circumstances, analysis and statistics are of very limited usefulness.
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12065 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 7:51 pm to
quote:

I have absolutely nothing against gambling, although I confine my own speculation to the ponies. In preseason games, you don't know how long the starters are going to play, you don't know how hard they're trying to win,


That's just the thing, a lot of times you do know this for a preseason game if you investigate. And a lot of the times one team will be trying to work on plays if they're putting in a new offense while another team is just trying to get reps. Teams with their QB rotation already set tend to do worse than teams who have QBs fighting for a spot on the team. And the lines don't usually correct themselves like in the regular season.
Posted by wrlakers
Member since Sep 2007
5748 posts
Posted on 8/17/15 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

I guess I am sounding a little judgemental, but it seems to me you might as well just bet on the flip of a coin or some other random event. Under the circumstances, analysis and statistics are of very limited usefulness.


No offense,
quote:

Jim Rockford
but I think you're viewing the concept of gambling narrowly. There may be some people who gamble to prove their superior football acumen. Others might have a different motivation. For me, I gamble to enhance the enjoyment I get from watching the game. If I've got a stake in it, I'm more interested and have more fun watching. Just because you may be otherwise motivated doesn't make others degenerates.
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