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re: Going non RB in 1st. Bad move?
Posted on 7/16/15 at 8:03 pm to Lester Earl
Posted on 7/16/15 at 8:03 pm to Lester Earl
quote:Okay. Let's look at Philip Rivers, currently ranked about the 14th QB in 6pt, 25yd PPR leagues. Probably a 9th-10th round draft pick.
Nothing like drafting a QB and having to stream a different one each week because the original one didn't pan out. People think it's so easy to get a QB, until you can't one to play consistently
Has averaged 20ppg the last 7 years. 5 years above, 2 years less than 20.
In 2013, the year of the best FF QB season ever, 520 points from Peyton - Rivers was coming off a 16.3 ppg season. In 2013 Rivers scored 22.0 ppg, 10 less than Peyton's historic season.
10+ppg is OMG great. Except when you think the best historic season is only 10ppg better than a QB you could have gotten in the 15th round. Alex Smith, Tony Romo, Andy Dalton were other low rent QBs that were in that 22ppg range. Or if you drafted Brees in 2013, historic is only 5ppg better.
Now let's come back down to earth. Luck isn't going to throw for 55 TDs and 5500 yards. Meaning the gap narrows ever more.
Easily Luck and A.A.Ron are your 1/2 or 2/1 defacto QBs this year, not arguing that. Just the value using a 1st round pick on either.
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