re: Anthony Davis MVPs by 30 - O/U 1.5?

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So you're already writing him off as one of the greatest big men of all-time who will have more MVP's than Shaq and as many as Duncan?

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and as many as Steve Nash and Karl Malone and Moses Malone all of whom he is already better than. Y'all are cherry picking guys who happened to not win a lot for whatever reason. There are also players not nearly as good as he is conservatively projected to be who won more.

There are two players with better PERs than he achieved at 21 with his body not fully filled out. Lebron and Michael Jordan. They have 4 and 5 respectively. Dude might not win 2 MVPs but the precedents don't make it shocking either way. There's outliers on both sides and by smoothing the curve you find out that great players end up getting about the amount of MVPs you would expect.

We aren't in any danger of Kyle Lowry or Paul Milsap taking one over him like some of y'all are making it seem. If thats not how y'all are making it seem, whats the relevance of bringing up great players not winning them? We know there are lots of candidates. 2 in 8 years is a 25% rate. Seems pretty tame to me for the clear choice for #1 highest rated player if you average out projected play over the next 8 years.