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re: Marilyn vos Savant and the history of the Montel Hall question
Posted on 2/23/15 at 10:04 pm to buckeye_vol
Posted on 2/23/15 at 10:04 pm to buckeye_vol
Predictably, this has already gone several pages. Here's the deal:
Let's assume there are n doors. You pick one, the chance your choice is correct is 1/n.
Now Monty proceeds to open all the doors you didn't pick except for one. Monty knows which one has the car, and will never open that door.
Trust Monty's advice.
Let's assume there are n doors. You pick one, the chance your choice is correct is 1/n.
Now Monty proceeds to open all the doors you didn't pick except for one. Monty knows which one has the car, and will never open that door.
Trust Monty's advice.
2
Posted on 2/23/15 at 10:11 pm to foshizzle
it's a fricking conditional probability problem 
Posted on 2/24/15 at 2:32 am to foshizzle
quote:
Predictably, this has already gone several pages.
I love these threads. It took a couple for me to grasp the concept.
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