re: Marilyn vos Savant and the history of the Montel Hall question

quote:

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Monty Hall Simulator

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I tried that and every single time I clicked the middle box it showed the exact same goat with the car in box #1 every single time. Very random

ETA: Didn't read other responses to the link yet.

I've seen the light; thanks to those who were able to help illustrate in a non-condescending manner. The case of 3 choices is perfect for the 50/50 illusion since you remove only one wrong answer. For cases with several initial choices I do see how the odds are affected, as it is impossible to get to a 50/50 scenario every single time where you have 100 initial choices and 98 incorrect ones are removed every time. Only an idiot would believe that out of 100 times of choosing one out of 100 that he would have picked the correct one originally 50 times.