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re: Marilyn vos Savant and the history of the Montel Hall question
Posted on 2/23/15 at 3:11 pm to WG_Dawg
Posted on 2/23/15 at 3:11 pm to WG_Dawg
To me, it depends on perspective and what exactly is being asked.
If the question is what is the chance of flipping heads even after flipping 9 heads in a row, the answer is 50/50.
If the question is what are the chances of flipping heads 10 consecutive times in a row?
Different answer.
It's a serial solution versus a single solitary flip of the coin.
If the question is what is the chance of flipping heads even after flipping 9 heads in a row, the answer is 50/50.
If the question is what are the chances of flipping heads 10 consecutive times in a row?
Different answer.
It's a serial solution versus a single solitary flip of the coin.
2
Posted on 2/23/15 at 3:13 pm to Monk
quote:
If the question is what is the chance of flipping heads even after flipping 9 heads in a row, the answer is 50/50.
If the question is what are the chances of flipping heads 10 consecutive times in a row?
Different answer.
Agree. I always get a kick out of people who think the odds of H/T varies on one single coin flip based on what's happened in previous flips. I'm horrendous at math and statistics, but one thing I DO know is that it's still 50/50 per flip ha.
Posted on 2/23/15 at 3:18 pm to Monk
quote:
If the question is what are the chances of flipping heads 10 consecutive times in a row?
Different answer
The probability of flipping any sequence of 10 flips is: 1/1024
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