re: Will Gonzaga flame out early in the NCAA tournament again this year?

only two 16's have come close to beating a #1.

Princeton had the ball and the last shot and missed against Georgetown with future NBA players.

Murray went into OT vs Mich State and Steve Smith. Popeye Jones had 37 in defeat.

You cannot predict outcomes. You can say, its more likely.
While eating at a steak house, I enjoyed seeing a 15 seed Santa Clara defeat 2 seed Arizona.
Pretty much every year a 15 or 14 wins.

So its really not about Zags not being good enough. Most of the teams have one or two really good players and if one or two other guys have a hot half or get on fire with the game on the line, the lower seed wins.