re: Percentage chance CLM is offered and accepts Michigan job

I think it depends, but some people are putting way too much stock in what a recruits parent said. Les was likely honest in that he wasn't planning on taking the UM job when talking to Toliver's family. He hadn't even been offered a job to take, so why would he contemplate taking it.

Then you have the parent saying he gave some look and saying it was like "Why would I ever leave LSU" and it somehow is believed by his pumpers that he actually said that.

In the end, no one knows how it will shake down. Maybe Les takes it personally that he wasn't their first choice. Maybe his sentimental attachment to UM draws him there. No one knows.

In the end, it's up to Les. Him publicly not stating he's not interested is for one of two reasons. Either he's interested and hasn't been offered or he's trying to wrangle more money out of LSU (which would pathetic given his team's performances over the last 3 seasons).

Again, only time will tell, but if Les loved LSU so much, he wouldn't be doing either of those things. And spare me the "If I am at a job, I am not going to lose any leverage" crap. He's handsomely paid as is his staff. Anything more is just greedy.