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Bowl Projections

Posted on 11/29/14 at 12:17 am
Posted by RoyBoy2323
Slabtown
Member since Oct 2004
3226 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 12:17 am
Before all of the Board Police start in, I looked back and did not see any true bowl projection threads after the TAMU win.

With that being said, where is Chad with his bowl projection break downs. Those things were so detailed and often time correct.

Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
77659 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 12:18 am to
Tax Slayer vs. Nebraska
This post was edited on 11/29/14 at 12:19 am
Posted by genuineLSUtiger
Nashville
Member since Sep 2005
76832 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 12:24 am to
quote:

Tax Slayer vs. Nebraska


Or maybe a nice matchup in the Duck Commander in Shreveport. Maybe against Marshall?
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
24717 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 12:40 am to
I would like a bowl against Nebraska.
Posted by MirrOlure
The Bayou
Member since Jul 2010
795 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 1:01 am to
Best Guess

Liberty Bowl

LSU
vs
West Virginia


...................................................

Now the pick below mostly likely Not going to happen but would like to see for the city of Shreveport.

Indy Bowl

LSU
vs
Texas


This post was edited on 11/29/14 at 1:11 am
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
38781 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 1:05 am to
I'm thinking Jacksonville.
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32376 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 1:27 am to
quote:

Under the new SEC bowl system, the Capital One Bowl in Orlando (vs. Big Ten/ACC), a long-time SEC bowl, will have the first selection of available SEC teams after any conference schools have qualified for the College Football Playoff, the Allstate Sugar Bowl or the Discover Orange Bowl. Following the Capital One Bowl, there will be a pool of six bowls comprised of renewals with the Outback Bowl in Tampa (vs. Big Ten), Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl in Nashville (vs. ACC/Big Ten), TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl in Jacksonville (vs. ACC/Big Ten) and AutoZone Liberty Bowl in Memphis (vs. Big 12), as well as new agreements with the Texas Bowl in Houston (vs. Big 12) and Belk Bowl in Charlotte (vs. ACC). In consultation with SEC member institutions, as well as these six bowls, the conference will make the assignments for the bowl games in this newly created pool system. "This bowl process gives us the best opportunity to address several issues that impact SEC fans, including the creation of intriguing matchups, the accommodation of travel for fans, reduced ticket obligations for our schools and a variety of assignments to help prevent repetitive postseason destinations," said Slive. The SEC has also renewed its relationship with both the Birmingham Bowl (vs. TBA) and the Advocare V100 Bowl in Shreveport (vs. ACC). The Birmingham Bowl will have the first selection of available teams following the pool of six bowls. The Advocare V100 Bowl will have the next selection of available teams following the Birmingham Bowl. 2014 SEC Bowl Tie Ins Capital One Bowl (Orlando, Fla.) vs. Big Ten/ACC Outback Bowl (Tampa, Fla.) vs. Big Ten Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl (Nashville, Tenn.) vs. ACC/Big Ten TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl (Jacksonville, Fla.) vs. ACC/Big Ten AutoZone Liberty Bowl (Memphis, Tenn.) vs. Big 12 Texas Bowl (Houston, Texas) vs. Big 12 Belk Bowl (Charlotte, N.C.) vs. ACC Birmingham Bowl (Birmingham, Ala.) vs. TBA Advocare V100 Bowl (Shreveport, La.) vs. ACC as well as Allstate Sugar Bowl (New Orleans, La.) or Discover Orange Bowl (Miami, Fla.)


LSU isn't going to the Indy Bowl. They come after the 6 primary bowls in the pecking order, and then after the Birmingham Bowl. They only get an SEC team if there are enough to go around. There will be this year, but I can absolutely guarantee that Houston or Birmingham will take LSU before the Indy gets a shot. And that's assuming that the Gator, Liberty, and Music City all pass as well. That won't happen.

If Arkansas had won today, they would have a great shot at the Liberty. However, with their loss, UT is better bet there. However, because they are on the rise, Arkansas probably ranks above A&M in the eyes of the SEC and the bowls, despite the head to head and poorer record. That disappointing finish likely puts them in one of the lower bowls. Maybe Indy.

It all hinges on how many the SEC gets into the playoff and/or premiere bowls. The other wild card is the fact that most of the bigger bowls are in the east now, and most of the bowl teams are in the west. Several teams with disappointing to average seasons (LSU, A&M, Ole Miss, Auburn) will have to travel a fair distance for their bowls. That is the real wild card in this. How will the SEC account for that, since they now make all of the assignments? There will likely be some unhappy marriages this year.

Playoff- MSU
Orange- Bama
Peach- Georgia
Citrus- Missouri
Outback- Auburn
Gator- UF
Liberty- UT
Music City- Ole Miss
Texas- LSU
Belk- South Carolina
Birmingham- Arkansas
Indy- A&M
This post was edited on 11/29/14 at 1:42 am
Posted by MirrOlure
The Bayou
Member since Jul 2010
795 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 1:37 am to
quote:

They only get an SEC team if there are enough to go around.


I was saying if LSU would fall to them (Indy Bowl)

Speaking of the Indy Bowl,

Yes I know LSU will be picked in the first 6 selections. Thats why I picked This way.

Liberty Bowl

LSU
vs
West Virginia
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32376 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 1:49 am to
FWIW, the Liberty is certainly a possibility, but it isn't as likely. The way the process works now, the teams and the bowls give the SEC their ranked choices other than the Citrus, who gets first choice. After that, the SEC makes the matches depending on those rankings.

I live in the Memphis area, and Steve Erhart, the head of the Liberty Bowl committee was on the radio this week. He made it clear that UT and Arkansas were the primary teams they are interested in. I can tell you that both schools will rate the Liberty high on their lists as well because of the ease of travel for their fan bases.

I am also certain that most LSU fans will NOT prefer this bowl, even if it is a solid matchup. I know this from past bowl projection discussions. Memphis is my home and I still have a soft spot for it, but it isn't the greatest destination city. Overlooking the crime and inner city blight, it has plenty to do, but it is cold here in the winter and the game is outdoors. I feel pretty certain that the athletic dept will have Texas and one of the Florida bowls higher on their list than the Liberty.

So, if the Liberty has 2 or 3 schools (Ole Miss may rank ahead of LSU as well) ahead of LSU, and LSU ranks at least 2 bowls ahead of the Liberty, it seems an unlikely match unless other priorities force it.

This is just my opinion. I would LOVE for LSU to end up here, whether it was against WVU or OU. My wife and I would get tix.
This post was edited on 11/29/14 at 1:54 am
Posted by BigTiger80
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2012
1192 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 2:30 am to
"Playoff- MSU
Orange- Bama
Peach- Georgia
Citrus- Missouri
Outback- Auburn
Gator- UF
Liberty- UT
Music City- Ole Miss
Texas- LSU
Belk- South Carolina
Birmingham- Arkansas
Indy- A&M"

I think this is pretty accurate except I believe the Tax Slayer (Gator) would take LSU over Florida. Sure the Gators are closer and would sell more tickets but LSU would be the one remaining unselected SEC team that is ranked. Florida also will have a interim coach so their fan base will likely be deflated (assuming they lose to FSU) and the bowl execs know this. I don't think Ole Miss will be ranked if they lose to Ms State as that will be 4 out of their last 5 games they will have lost. LSU is still a national program and hasn't played in Jacksonville since the 1987 season. UT, SC, Ark and A&M are all unranked and probably still will be after the rest of the games are played tomorrow.

I'm not so sure Ole Miss will go to the Music City bowl if they lose to State. They went there last season. It wouldn't surprise me if the Liberty and Music City work a deal that sends the Rebs to Memphis and Tenn to Nashville.

If LSU winds up in Jacksonville, I think A&M would play in the Texas bowl. That leaves Indy open and with the last pick they take Florida as I think the Gators will be every bowl's last choice because of their situation.

There's no doubt if anything the A&M win gives the Tigers a chance to play in a New Year's Day bowl (the Tax Slayer) when they would have fallen way down the pecking order had they lost. That said, I'm not happy that we lost 4 games this season and with what this staff is getting paid, we should be in the discussion for a much better bowl game.
Posted by DanglingFury
Living the dream
Member since Dec 2007
20465 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 2:43 am to
quote:

Tax Slayer vs. Nebraska


I think that'd be a very cool matchup.
Posted by RoyBoy2323
Slabtown
Member since Oct 2004
3226 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 3:55 am to
So is the consensus the Texas Bowl as of right now?
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15707 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 5:22 am to
would love to have in jax
Posted by Beats2Geaux
In the zone....
Member since Dec 2013
1561 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 6:56 am to
Heck yeah. I live in Jacksonville
Posted by CajunSoldier225
Member since Aug 2011
8990 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 7:53 am to
Got my tix to the Texas Bowl already.

If they go to the Indy Bowl, it'll only be $10 to go.
Posted by teeMike
In my mind, I'm already there.
Member since Feb 2007
7574 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 7:57 am to
USA today predicts LSU to the Indy Bowl going into today's games.
Posted by Tiger in NY
Neptune Beach, FL
Member since Sep 2003
31332 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 8:55 am to
Nebraska won't be in the Gator (Tax Slayer) for the 3rd year in a row. If LSU playplays in the Gator bowl, it will be against Minnesota.
Posted by CarRamrod
Spurbury, VT
Member since Dec 2006
58265 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 8:56 am to
from a good source before the game said with a win we should go to the tax slayer and with a loss would be the texas or music city bowl. Som im going with the Tax Slaer/Gator
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32376 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 10:48 am to
quote:

USA today predicts LSU to the Indy Bowl going into today's games.


That just proved that they haven't done any research on the way SEC bowls are now assigned. LSU to Indy is a very remote possibility.
This post was edited on 11/29/14 at 10:52 am
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32376 posts
Posted on 11/29/14 at 10:51 am to
quote:

USA today predicts LSU to the Indy Bowl going into today's games.


That's a good matchup, if not on the boring side. But two teams who like to play physical football.

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