re: UPDATED: SEC team capable of winning the West with 2 or 3 SEC losses per year?

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Considering average means we will do better some years, yes Miles is more than capable of winning the West still.

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average does mean we will do better, but to see how much better we need to look at the spread of the data. Let's do that and see what the ceiling, and the floor are, statistically, for a Les Miles LSU team.

we have a mean of 2.4 conference losses per year.

we have a standard deviation of 1.4.

That give us a 95% confidence interval that Les Miles will lose between 1.5 and 3.3 games in conference every year.

I dont think that is good enough to compete for the West, do you?