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re: 5-way tie atop the West, does LSU win the tie?
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:29 pm to IceTiger
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:29 pm to IceTiger
quote:
5-way tie atop the West, does LSU win the tie?
No. We need Auburn out of the tie. They have to lose two more games, and Ole Miss realistically needs NOT to be one of them. We win a 4-way tie among LSU, MSU, Bama and Ole Miss. That's what we have to hope for.
We need the following:
LSU win out
Alabama lose to LSU but win out otherwise
Ole Miss lose to Auburn but win out otherwise
MSU lose to Alabama and Ole Miss
Auburn lose to Alabama and either Georgia or Texas A&M
Unlikely that all of that happens, but no single element is all that far-fetched. It's the combination of all of them that makes it unlikely.
3
Posted on 10/26/14 at 3:39 pm to Nuts4LSU
quote:
We need the following:
LSU win out
Alabama lose to LSU but win out otherwise
Ole Miss lose to Auburn but win out otherwise
MSU lose to Alabama and Ole Miss
Auburn lose to Alabama and either Georgia or Texas A&M
It is possible that we could get to the last tiebreaker with Auburn and at least one other team. As mentioned, Auburn seems to have the best SEC East opponents, but there are enough games left where that can change.
Georgia and South Carolina have 5 conference losses between them right now, and Florida and Kentucky have 6. Georgia and South Carolina would have to have more.
Posted on 10/26/14 at 4:40 pm to Nuts4LSU
quote:Not enough for LSU. Miss St has to have 3 losses for LSU to move ahead of them since they have the head-to-head tiebreaker.
MSU lose to Alabama and Ole Miss
Posted on 10/26/14 at 5:57 pm to Nuts4LSU
quote:
LSU win out
Alabama lose to LSU but win out otherwise
Ole Miss lose to Auburn but win out otherwise
MSU lose to Alabama and Ole Miss
Auburn lose to Alabama and either Georgia or Texas A&M
Unlikely that all of that happens, but no single element is all that far-fetched. It's the combination of all of them that makes it unlikely.
We could also have Ole Miss lose to Arkansas instead of Auburn. It is in Fayetteville.
We saw last night how effective a power rushing attack can be against that small Ole Miss defensive front.
ETA: Plus, this would bump Auburn out of the picture quicker. And we would only have to worry about one game on the final weekend (Egg Bowl), as opposed to two. Assuming Auburn loses at Georgia, of course.
This post was edited on 10/26/14 at 6:00 pm
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