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re: 2016 GOP nominee could get a third or more of AA vote
Posted on 10/17/14 at 7:21 pm to NC_Tigah
Posted on 10/17/14 at 7:21 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:
A 90% bloc vote strongly encourages a more-of-the-same approach. In concert with Elbert Guillory's premise, the question folks within such a bloc should ask is "Is a more-of-the-same approach what we need?" In this case, that question barely appears as a blip.
As I mentioned earlier, it's already been proven that Republican politicians can win Black votes on the state level, so why not the national level.
1
Posted on 10/17/14 at 7:53 pm to trackfan
quote:I'm not sure if you misread, but while that is true, it is not responsive.
As I mentioned earlier, it's already been proven that Republican politicians can win Black votes on the state level, so why not the national level.
Can the GOP win with <10% of the total Black vote? Yes!
If the GOP does win, and >90% of Blacks vote for the opposition, who is hurt?
If Democrats assume, rightly or wrongly, >90% of Blacks will vote for them, who is hurt? Whether or not Dems win in that scenario, victims of assumed support (i.e., Democrat supporting Blacks) lose.
Until a bloc demonstrates ability to change, it loses more leverage with each subsequent contest. Best they can hope for is status quo, more of the same. More of the same is awful in this case. So the argument is at least as strong for the 90% to find a GOP Candidate and back him, as it is for a GOP candidate to court the vote.
It is far from a one-way street.
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