re: DAT: 2014-2015 Offseason Thread

We are officially 2 weeks away from Pitchers/Catchers reporting for Spring Training.

Here's a long pick-and-choose-stats-that-I-like-to-justify-my-prediction post.

Stats from 2014:
Astros were 9-19 in April. During that time, the SP was just awful, of the 19 losses, only 2 were blown saves and 3 were Walk-off wins by the opposition. So, of the remaining 13 losses, if the SP does it job, I see them picking up 5 games over their 2014 April (3 losses by Harrell and 2 each by Peacock and Cosart, I'm splitting the losses for Peacock and Cosart. Harrell was garbage and I'm choosing to believe we would've won every one of his shitty losses. This is my made up analysis so there.) Notice, fewer games this April so the numbers don't exactly add up from last season to my predictions.

FCU prediction for April record 2015: 11 - 11.

Astros were 15-14 in May. They get 4 more L's by the Peacock/Cosart duo, so added a +2 for those games. They went 4-6 in 1 run games during the month. I'll even that out and take a +1 (due to better BP to start this season). Finally, they ended the month with a season high 7 game win streak... not sure I like that anomolly, so I'll take a -4 on that.

Prediction for May 2015 record will be 14-15.

Astros were 12-15 in June 2014. The Astros were shut out 5 times in June. I don't like that anomolly (whatever, it's my BS analysis) so I say we get a +2 there. Nothing else sticks out that I can cherry-pick here so I will point out that Jerome Williams had two BS during the month. He's gone, we get an extra win.

Prediction for June, 2015 record will be 15-14.

Astros were a terrible 8-17 in July. They opened the month with a 7 game losing streak. Not sure I like that anomolly (ha!) so I'm taking 2 of those losses, +2. They lost Springer from the lineup. Five more losses by Peacock/Cosart. +2 games there. The pitching is terrible during the month, of the 17 losses, the opposition scored more than 5 runs 11 times. Coincidentally, during those 11 games, The power quartet of Springer, Carter, Singleton and Santana go for a whopping .139 average (13-93). So, I'm choosing to take 1 of those losses for wins this year.

Prediction for July, 2015 record will be 13-11.

Astros were 15-14 in August. Without Springer. +1 game for having him back. -1 for the loss of Feldman getting traded to the Marlins. +2 for calling up Appel.

Prediction for August, 2015 record will be 16-13.

Astros were 11-13 in September. +3 for Calling up Correa (Yeah, I said it). +1 for calling up Moran.

Prediction for September, 2015 record will be 15-12.

Prediction for October, 2015 record will be 2-1. They take the series against the D-backs.


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Season record: 86-76.


TL;DR. Yes, I'm bored. No, I can't wait for Spring Training. Cubs fans in the DAT thread can suck it. Rangers fans can just suck wherever they are.

Yes, most of this post is with a lot of hope and humor.