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re: OFFICIAL Week 2 NFL Bet Thread
Posted on 9/10/14 at 9:49 am to dcrews
Posted on 9/10/14 at 9:49 am to dcrews
quote:
Did we learn nothing about road favorites last week?
So because road favorites didn't cover last week it means the Saints can't cover this week? Since when did this thread turn into square thinking only?? .
Some trends in the Saints favor:
Drew Brees is 27-15 ATS after a loss with the Saints (8-4 ATS as an underdog).
Saints are 7-3 ATS as favorites after losing as favorites.
Sean Payton is 8-3 ATS in his second-consecutive road game as a favorite.
The Saints could easily win this game going away. I backed Cleveland last week and won, but I don't have any respect for Pittsburgh's terrible defense that allowed that Cleveland backdoor.
The Saints had a Top 5 stop unit last year. They couldn't tackle last week vs. ATL (it was shocking and I'm calling it an anomaly). I suspect we see a big bounce back from them this week.
Cleveland's offense is nowhere close to Atlanta. The intangibles are on the Saints side because they know a loss to Cleveland likely puts them 2 games behind Seattle in the race for homefield advantage in the NFC.
Cleveland isn't good and the Saints are a SB contender. I wouldn't be too surprised if the sharps are back on the Saints this week as well when it's all said and done.
Posted on 9/10/14 at 2:52 pm to Billy Mays
quote:
Since when did this thread turn into square thinking only??
During Payton era (including last week's game in Atlanta), the Saints have covered only 5 out of 38 road games.
13% road cover rate.
quote:
didn't cover last week
Try haven't covered shite on the road since 2006.
Take out the words "Saints" and "Browns" and tell me if you'd back a road team that has a 13% cover rate away from home.
Bet based on numbers, not teams.
This post was edited on 9/10/14 at 2:53 pm
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