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re: Statistics: Why LSU will beat Wisconsin: A response to Wisc Trolls
Posted on 8/21/14 at 11:44 pm to Dick Macho
Posted on 8/21/14 at 11:44 pm to Dick Macho
quote:
The biggest misconception that the badger fans seem to have is that Iowa almost beat us.
I think you are misinterpreting our take on that game. Its not that we think that Iowa almost beat you, its the fact that it was even a game at all. Iowa lost their QB at halftime and it still took a score in the last two minutes for LSU to pull out the W. We played that same Iowa team at their house and physically dominated them on our way to an easy 28-9 victory. UW-Iowa is one of the most intense rivalries in the B1G (all time series is 43-42-2 in UW's favor) and we hadn't played them in 3 years (stupid conference expansion). Their team and their fans were PUMPED UP for that game and we pimp slapped in their own house.
Wisconsin is a vastly superior team to Iowa. What we take away from that game is that all these recruiting rankings that people are throwing out don't mean much. A much less talented team played you close, I see no reason why a better team (UW) couldn't as well, especially when you have to replace multiple players that rank as some of the best to ever play at LSU.
But don't get it twisted, I'm not saying that because Iowa played you close UW will win. I am saying that because of that game, as well as many other factors, I expect our game to be close too. LSU is the clear favorite, but it is by a much smaller margin than many here suspect. If UW plays well we have every chance of pulling out the W.
This post was edited on 8/21/14 at 11:51 pm
5
Posted on 8/21/14 at 11:57 pm to Johnkester59
And as to the Iowa game......
You are admitting that they had their starter for a half?
Well we had a first time starting true freshman behind center.
I thought LSU looked damned strong for that!!!
But, I wish you the best.
Good luck and enjoy the environment!!!
You are admitting that they had their starter for a half?
Well we had a first time starting true freshman behind center.
I thought LSU looked damned strong for that!!!
But, I wish you the best.
Good luck and enjoy the environment!!!
Posted on 8/22/14 at 12:06 am to Johnkester59
I think we will win. If it is a blow out, I believe it will definitely be in LSU's favor. Turnovers will be key as always, think Ole Piss last year..not as talented and more banged up..and yet.
I've never been a negatiger in my life, but you rarely know how a new team reacts to the first game. This goes for every team. Yes we have a good track record on opening day and against OOC foes for 10 years.
One of these days LSU will lose an opener, an OOC regular season game, and yes even to the Grinders.
I just hope it isn't this year. I don't think it will be. I do respect Wisconsin as much or more than any OOC team as a program other than Oregon, maybe VA Tech when we played them the last and only 2 times.
If you look at their schedule(very bad I know)they have to believe with a win they can run the table till playoffs. If LSU wins, I'm not sure we can say that(much tougher table to run)
I've never been a negatiger in my life, but you rarely know how a new team reacts to the first game. This goes for every team. Yes we have a good track record on opening day and against OOC foes for 10 years.
One of these days LSU will lose an opener, an OOC regular season game, and yes even to the Grinders.
I just hope it isn't this year. I don't think it will be. I do respect Wisconsin as much or more than any OOC team as a program other than Oregon, maybe VA Tech when we played them the last and only 2 times.
If you look at their schedule(very bad I know)they have to believe with a win they can run the table till playoffs. If LSU wins, I'm not sure we can say that(much tougher table to run)
Posted on 8/22/14 at 12:46 am to Johnkester59
quote:
Wisconsin is a vastly superior team to Iowa. What we take away from that game is that all these recruiting rankings that people are throwing out don't mean much. A much less talented team played you close, I see no reason why a better team (UW) couldn't as well, especially when you have to replace multiple players that rank as some of the best to ever play at LSU.
What you are describing is football. Alabama constantly has the #1 ranked recruiting class yet they lose games. Teams lose to "inferior" talent all the time.
quote:
LSU is the clear favorite, but it is by a much smaller margin than many here suspect. If UW plays well we have every chance of pulling out the W.
I completely agree.
the reason why most assume it's a win is because there is only two situations in which Wisky would win.
We'll say there are 5 levels of performance
Terrible
Bad
Average
Good
Great
IF Wisky beats LSU by 3 levels it could win. So if LSU plays Terrible and Wisky plays good.. or if LSU plays Bad and Wisky plays Great.
To put it another way.
WIS LSU
Great Great = LSU win
Great Good = LSU win
Great Average = LSU win
Good Great = LSU win
Good Good = LSU win
Good Average = LSU win
Good Bad = LSU win
Anything below good for wisky = loss.
So yes. Just like any game. The favorite could lose. But they are the favorite for a reason.
My prediction. LSU, GOOD. Wisky, GOOD. 7+ victory for LSU.
And hopefully Wisky goes undefeated from there.
Posted on 8/23/14 at 7:49 pm to Johnkester59
quote:
Iowa lost their QB at halftime and it still took a score in the last two minutes for LSU to pull out the W.
WE lost our quarterback BEFORE the game... And your point?
Posted on 8/24/14 at 10:38 am to Johnkester59
quote:
I'm not saying that because Iowa played you close UW will win. I am saying that because of that game, as well as many other factors, I expect our game to be close too. LSU is the clear favorite, but it is by a much smaller margin than many here suspect. If UW plays well we have every chance of pulling out the W.
and everyone on here over the age of 12 agrees with you.
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