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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted on 8/20/14 at 3:23 pm to chickman1313
Posted on 8/20/14 at 3:23 pm to chickman1313
Some of the models fall outside of the 5-day cone. I know this thing isn't formed yet and very unpredictable but it seems the the cone should fall more into the aggregate of the models.
1
Posted on 8/20/14 at 3:28 pm to AstroTiger
quote:
Some of the models fall outside of the 5-day cone. I know this thing isn't formed yet and very unpredictable but it seems the the cone should fall more into the aggregate of the models.
The five day area the NHC started using for waves/invests isn't necessarily a path this thing will take, rather it's a zone that shows where possible formation will take place at some point in the next five days. The cones we know and love don't come out until it is at least a depression. Also notice with the models the uncertainty within 24 hours.. usually you would want to see them more aligned within at least the first 24 hours... but of course it's still early and we still don't have a LLC.
This post was edited on 8/20/14 at 3:29 pm
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