re: Does Rand Paul have a serious shot for President?

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If Rand flops it will be due to personality and presentation, not ideas.

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No matter the party, the likeabilty factor is huge. Perceptions of a person's belief system is as well. IMO Rand Paul will get crushed bc of these two factors.

In the summer of 2012, there were multiple threads laughing at Obama's and the Left's attacks on Romney. Remember Bane Capital? I laughed at the nativity of the Righties on this board and Romney for not punching back. By the time the Fall rolled around, America had it's perception of Romney created without any defense put up. So when the 47% video ran, it fit right in. The car elevator. The Olympic horse. The multiple houses. The Left made Romney out to be Mr Burns.

Look at Bush in 1998. Bush, with no real competition started early with his war hero media blitz and ridiculing of Dukakis. Atwater was a genius and Democrats have copied his formula since. Republicans did a better job in 04 and 08.

Paul, with his demeanor and views will be easy pickings. He's like the Republican Howard Dean. A very easy target.

Christie stood a good chance but the recent scandals give tons of ammo. Right now I'd bet Jeb Bush. He's a hell of a lot more likable than his brother, seems more intelligent and his brother and father did a damn good job of destroying their enemies. He's got the pedigree.