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re: World Cup draw - Official discussion thread

Posted on 12/3/13 at 8:53 pm to
Posted by S.E.C. Crazy
Alabama
Member since Feb 2013
7905 posts
Posted on 12/3/13 at 8:53 pm to
Why not have 4 pots, 1-8, 9-16, 17-24, 24-32.


Because then FIFA couldn't play games with the draw.

If you don't know that by now you never will.


Does anyone think the Swiss are a top 8 team.

Portugal arw not 5 as they sit now, even though they missed the top 8 seed.

Israel played them twice, I watched both games, they are not a top 5 team.

My final 4 will be Brazil, Germany, Argentina and a longshot team like USA, Belgum ( not really longshot , in name only ) Bosnia, or an African nation, I feel this is the WC that an up and coming team breaks through.

England & Fraace are crap.
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
73873 posts
Posted on 12/3/13 at 9:01 pm to
quote:

Why not have 4 pots, 1-8, 9-16, 17-24, 24-32.



That would be a hell of a lot more rigged that doing it by confederation.
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7960 posts
Posted on 12/3/13 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

Why not have 4 pots, 1-8, 9-16, 17-24, 24-32. . . . Does anyone think the Swiss are a top 8 team.


The main problem this time is how they are arriving at the 1-8 seeds.

They just used the current October FIFA rankings and those computer rankings always have a lot of weird outliers in any given month.


In the past, there has been some method in place to correct outliers: FIFA rankings being averaged out over a longer period of time and, more importantly, being weighted by teams' actual performance in actual recent competitive tournaments.

This would still be a tough WC but getting Netherlands and Italy into the first pot -- where they would have been using all previous methods -- would have helped immensely.


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