re: Official NBA/NCAA Basketball Bet thread - Week 3

This is from davidaman

NCAAB:

BYU +5 (1.1 to win 1) - Two solid teams here as I actually expect both to make the tournament, that said I feel this line is a bit too high. If you've followed BYU at all over the years you know what you're going to get with them. Fast, faster, and fastest on the offensive end. This is a team that plays in the top 10 in adjusted tempo year after year after year, and as you can expect this year will be no different. There's talent there too, led by Tyler Haws and Matt Carlino (who combined for 50 points in their opener) they have a very solid guard duo. Stanford is no doubt a solid team, but in this one they'll have the tough task of changing styles from the polar opposite of what they saw in their last game. They played a slow it down, hard fought, grind it out game against Bucknell, who will play about as slow as anyone in the country. They now follow that up with BYU who as I mentioned plays as fast as just about anyone in the country. Not easy to play back to back games against such drastically different styles. BYU has enough talent and can give Stanford enough headaches to stay within the number here and maybe win straight up.

Long Beach State +19.5 (1.1 to win 1) - A clear look ahead spot for Arizona here as they travel down to San Diego to take on SDSU Thursday night in a game I expect to be right around a PK line. It'll be one of the best games on the early season schedule in college hoops this year and you gotta wonder how up for a Monday night game with LBSU the Wildcats will be. Obviously Arizona is the better team, that's not debatable, and I'm certainly not executing a LBSU win. I do however think with the look ahead angle in play that the 49ers can hang around and stay within this number. I've got LBSU pegged to finish 3rd in the Big West, PG Michael Caffey is a nice playmaker and with some decent big men down low this offense is capable of giving Arizona a little trouble. Obviously with a team as good as Arizona if they show up and are focused there's the chance they run them out of the gym, i'm betting against that more so than I am simply what this game shows me on paper.