re: Davis is shooting 55% from midrange so far..

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Exactly. I get what SFP is trying to argue here in terms of efficiency models. However, in terms of actual basketball play, it doesn't just work like that. The Long to Mid Range jumper is a great weapon to have for a PF. We have guys that can shoot the 3, and a stretch 4. We don't really need another stretch 4.

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I think so. The consequence of always shooting from say, half the area of the floor, even if it is sparsely distributed, is that the defense can deploy differently against you. Once the defense is meaningfully different than the one in the model, it all goes out of the window. If they hold your three point shooting to under 1/3, then you are better off taking the long 2 . . . that you practice . . . that Davis practices . . . if you can hit it over 50%.

The changes that your offense causes in the defense is essentially the issue that is ignored by many of the basic efficiency studies, and that is fine; that is not their function. They simply provide the benefit structure and do a good job of it. It is all to common for people to ignore costs in analyses, especially opportunity costs or effects of `market changes' by systematic changes in `demand' . . . in this case, changes in defense by behaving more predictably.