re: Spoke with an NFL scout regarding early departures today.

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with guys like Gurley and Yeldon, it is doubtful that Hill would be a lock to be the first back taken. The difference in pay is not a big as it used to be.

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It's not AS big, but check it out.

2011: Mark Ingram #28 - signed a 4 year 7.41 mill contract (fully guaranteed) with a 3.89 signing bonus

2012: Trent Richardson #3 - 4 year 20.48 mill contract (fully guaranteed) with 13.34 mill bonus

2012: David Wilson #32 - 4 year 6.68 mill contract (5.4 guaranteed) and a 3.30 mill bonus

2013: Giovanni Bernard #37 - 4 year 5.25 mill contract with 2.2 mill bonus

Where you are signed in a round usually dictates how much you get and if being signed the first of your position also plays a part. Just from the last 3 drafts, you see there is a 13 mill difference from 3rd and 28th.
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Ok the 2nd-7th backs taken in 2nd, 3rd, 4th rds of 2013
Le'Veon Bell #48 - 4 year 4.37 mill contract 1.37 mill bonus
Montee Ball #58 -
Eddie Lacy #61 - 4 year 3.39 mill contract 847k bonus
Christine Michael #62 - 4 year 3.37 mill contract 834k bonus
Knile Davis #96 - 4 year 2.75 mill contract 516k bonus
Jonathan Franklin #125 - 4 year 2.58 mill contract 405k bonus
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There is no major difference between mid first and early second rd and from mid second to late fourth is a difference of just 2 mill.

Hill would definitely be taken ahead of Yeldon and would probably look more valuable to NFL scouts because of his running style and the fact that he's not a bruiser. Hill would get a lot of receptions out the backfield in the NFL.

It's not that big of a deal if you are one of the top 5-6 backs taken. Unless you are in the top 10, you won't be pulling in grand theft money.