re: Doolittle's top Center projections (WARP)

quote:

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I don't think there's a way to make an advanced stat look any worse than these lists from Doolitle have.

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I generally like you as a poster , but this makes little sense. The series of articles is a projection list based on the ATH algorithim which in turns shows WARP. The key going forward is to track this and see if it turns out. LeBron is in the plus 23 range in WARP-light years ahead of anyone else. That's pretty accurate. Combining rates of action (ie rebounding rate, foul drawing rate) along with offensive/defensive rating. Also team role, age,phsyiscal characteristics and historic trends based on player style/size help shape the stat. I've linked WARP explanation, as well as ATH. Basketball Propectus is a good site, check it out if you can. A lot of these metrics their own admission are flawed(WARP points out its own in the link). Defense usually comes into play.

His Big Man Barometer was pretty accurate last year.By his own admission(repeatedly) he questions the results of the projected lists. It is not his subjective view.

Bio/Video Metrics (tracking) is next big thing...read about it here. Several teams are on this and most are pretty hush hush about it.