re: Tarpon Rodeo Roll Call brought to you by GonePecan

Disturbance 24 is a tropical wave that is emerging off of the Coast of Africa. It is expected to move to the west at about 15 to 20 mph. This motion would take the system toward the islands of the northeast Caribbean in about a week. Yesterday, the models were indicating that the system may develop into a tropical storm as it approaches the Caribbean. Today, the models are less aggressive in terms of development. We are assessing the chance that the system could become a tropical depression or a tropical storm during the next 5 days to be 20 percent. More likely, the system will remain as a disturbance as it moves toward the Caribbean.