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re: Weak Retail Numbers = More Fed Pumping

Posted on 7/15/13 at 6:49 pm to
Posted by MoreOrLes
Member since Nov 2008
19472 posts
Posted on 7/15/13 at 6:49 pm to
Disclosure....Im about the furthest thing from an expert.

quote:

Doc's analogy that I've ran with is that QE is ICU, you can't keep a patient in a comma forever. You have to bring them out and let them live again otherwise you just have a zombie. Eventually markets have to be dictated by economics.


I prefer looking at QE like crack......try to quit and there will be at least withdrawals. Its not going to be fun or pleasant.
This post was edited on 7/15/13 at 6:52 pm
Posted by BennyAndTheInkJets
Middle of a layover
Member since Nov 2010
5626 posts
Posted on 7/16/13 at 9:05 am to
quote:

I prefer looking at QE like crack......try to quit and there will be at least withdrawals. Its not going to be fun or pleasant.

That's one way as well, some of my colleagues (and myself) used to call it financial heroin, then we had to start explaining QE/ZIRP to clients. I actually misquoted myself there, QE is surgery and ZIRP is ICU. You have to put someone out before you can do surgery, however you have to make surgery effective. You can't do too much as the patient's natural processes may be permanently affected. However, you can't do too little as the surgery will be ineffective (Japan). Also, when surgery is done, you can't just bring them back immediately, you have to give the body time to rest. Similar to raising rates after ending QE, can't do it all at once as it would be too much to rattle the markets.
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