re: Panic down south

Well, Mexico has to convince me that they can so much as score at home before I give them too much credit.

Here's how things stand right now in the hex:


Team v t e
Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
United States 6 4 1 1 7 3 +4 13
Costa Rica 6 3 2 1 7 3 +4 11
Mexico 6 1 5 0 3 2 +1 8
Honduras 6 2 1 3 6 7 -1 7
Panama 6 1 3 2 5 7 -2 6
Jamaica 6 0 2 4 2 8 -6 2

Here's the matches still left to be played:


6 September 2013
Costa Rica v United States Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San José
6 September 2013
Mexico v Honduras Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
6 September 2013
Panama v Jamaica Estadio Rommel Fernández, Panama City
10 September 2013
Honduras v Panama Estadio Olímpico Metropolitano, San Pedro Sula
10 September 2013
Jamaica v Costa Rica Independence Park, Kingston
10 September 2013
20:00 UTC-4
United States v Mexico Columbus Crew Stadium, Columbus[5]
11 October 2013
Honduras v Costa Rica Estadio Olímpico Metropolitano, San Pedro Sula
11 October 2013
Mexico v Panama Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
11 October 2013
United States v Jamaica Sporting Park, Kansas City[5]
15 October 2013
Costa Rica v Mexico Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San José
15 October 2013
Jamaica v Honduras Independence Park, Kingston
15 October 2013
Panama v United States Estadio Rommel Fernández, Panama City

Assuming that Mexico never breaks their home scoring drought (I realize that's a reach but let's go with it) they'll have 10 points with 2 road matches against the USA and Costa Rica. Both of those will be tough games, unless CR has things wrapped up at the end and decides to coast. Panama and Honduras both have a match scheduled against Jamaica and both could likely come away with 3 points. Panama's last match in the hex is at home against the US and if the US has a spot locked up, they may well coast in that match.

Bottom line, Mexico may well qualify but it's nothing close to a slam dunk.