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re: LSU Arrests vs. SEC: (updated July 2013)

Posted on 5/4/13 at 8:26 am to
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11602 posts
Posted on 5/4/13 at 8:26 am to
quote:

This is more an issue of personal responsibility. You also need to look at normal behavior for a group of 100 , 18-24 yr old men.

Found this data. It's a little old but probably still close to current rates... LINK

FBI 2001 arrest rates per 100,000 male inhabitants

Age Total
18 4,880.9
19 4,267.8
20 3,542.5
21 3,189.5
22 2,787.7

Quick math gives expected arrest rates for 100 of each age of
18 = 4.88
19 = 4.27
20 = 3.54
21 = 3.19
22 = 2.79

If you take 20 of each age to compare against a football team of 100 males age 18-22, that would give a rate of

(4.88 + 4.27 + 3.54 + 3.19 + 2.79) / 5

for a total rate of 18.67 / 5

= 3.76 per 100 males age 18-22 (in 2001 only)

So the arrest rate over a 3 year period (2010-2013) would be 3 times greater or about

11.28 for the general population of 100 18-22 year old males.

Looks like Missouri, Arkansas, Florida, and Georgia are at or over that amount.

The teams with only a few are well below average for the general population of 18-22 year olds.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11602 posts
Posted on 5/4/13 at 9:34 am to
Update to my previous post on the crime stats:

The rate of 3.76 in 2001 was only for selected crimes - mostly violent crimes.

This link is for all crimes in 2009... LINK

Based on this the number of arrests for the general population of 100 18 to 22 year old males over a 3 year period would be

(4.39 + 4.47 + 4.28 + 3.92 + 3.62) * 3 =

62.04 arrests.

Even Missouri's rate of 15 is much less than that but still quite high for an 'educated' population.
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