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re: 1/15/13 Basketball Bet Thread: "Do it" edition
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:19 pm to maclauer
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:19 pm to maclauer
College Hoops...YTD 97-70-5 +22.5 Units 58%
Clemson -6.5 (-120)
Posting early because you can catch Clemson at -7 right now.
I bought it down to 6.5 for two reasons,... I hate to push, and I feel like 6.5 is a pretty key number in basketball.
Everyone should be fine with the -7, I have it capped at 15.
This game is very similar to the Louisville (-6.5) line last night in which the oddsmakers and public were undervaluing the favorite I had Louisville as a 14.5 point favorite. (They went on to win by 15)
This was my favorite line this morning and seeing the line drop makes me happy, I have had a ton of success betting against line movement this season.
May add one or two plays later, but want you guys to get this one while the extra value is still there.
Clemson -6.5 (-120)
Posting early because you can catch Clemson at -7 right now.
I bought it down to 6.5 for two reasons,... I hate to push, and I feel like 6.5 is a pretty key number in basketball.
Everyone should be fine with the -7, I have it capped at 15.
This game is very similar to the Louisville (-6.5) line last night in which the oddsmakers and public were undervaluing the favorite I had Louisville as a 14.5 point favorite. (They went on to win by 15)
This was my favorite line this morning and seeing the line drop makes me happy, I have had a ton of success betting against line movement this season.
May add one or two plays later, but want you guys to get this one while the extra value is still there.
2
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:30 pm to dgtiger3
what about Clemson at -7 1/2 now. And it doesnt let me buy the 1/2
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:59 pm to dgtiger3
Final Card
College Hoops...YTD 97-70-5 +22.5 Units 58%
Plays
Clemson -6.5 (-120) (1.5x)
Leans
Indiana -10.5 (0.5 Units)
James Madison +8 (0.5 Units)
- I upgraded Clemson because I feel pretty damn strong about the game.
- Indiana the line value is not great but I think they win by double digits pretty easily.
- James Madison was the only dog my system seemed to like today, so I will toss them in as a lean as well.
- I can not figure out why the line is so low on the Notre Dame game, I capped the game at ND -13 on both systems, but I don't bet sides that seem too good to be true, this line definitely fits that mold.
- Eastern Michigan my original system likes them here at home (I have them as a Top 25 Home Court Advantage in both of my systems), but my more sophisticated matchup system thinks they are pretty much outmatched in every facet of the game, so I am staying away.
College Hoops...YTD 97-70-5 +22.5 Units 58%
Plays
Clemson -6.5 (-120) (1.5x)
Leans
Indiana -10.5 (0.5 Units)
James Madison +8 (0.5 Units)
- I upgraded Clemson because I feel pretty damn strong about the game.
- Indiana the line value is not great but I think they win by double digits pretty easily.
- James Madison was the only dog my system seemed to like today, so I will toss them in as a lean as well.
- I can not figure out why the line is so low on the Notre Dame game, I capped the game at ND -13 on both systems, but I don't bet sides that seem too good to be true, this line definitely fits that mold.
- Eastern Michigan my original system likes them here at home (I have them as a Top 25 Home Court Advantage in both of my systems), but my more sophisticated matchup system thinks they are pretty much outmatched in every facet of the game, so I am staying away.
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