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re: Could Saban take Miles' team and beat Bama?

Posted on 1/8/13 at 1:11 pm to
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
57446 posts
Posted on 1/8/13 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

If you think the gaping one loss gap in record over three years is a distinct difference, go ahead. I do agree that flags fly forever, so those titles certainly make a huge difference in the two coaches' reputations. But the actual performance of the programs has been remarkably even these past three years. They got the breaks. We didn't. Life sucks sometimes.


That one loss, as you say (reality though is the last two losses to Bama costed us two titles but whatever), and that razor thin edge separates winners and losers. If a team consistently lands on the losing side at the end of the day...what's the difference.

I think Miles is a good recruiter. He is pulling from the state with the highest per capita of NFL talent in the country by far. We have prob around 10 players jumping to the NFL THIS SEASON alone.

What did we do with all that talent: ZERO BCS bowl wins. I didn't just say National titles, I said BCS bowls. Think about that for a second.

LSU is not in a vacuum. Other teams are obviously rising to the occasion as of late with LESS NFL talent.

So what makes the REAL difference?
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 1/8/13 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

That one loss, as you say (reality though is the last two losses to Bama costed us two titles but whatever), and that razor thin edge separates winners and losers. If a team consistently lands on the losing side at the end of the day...what's the difference.

No, the reality is five losses to six. I'm comparing their actual records. So our two losses to Bama mattered "more" than their two losses to us. That's just the luck of the draw again. It's a razor thin edge, I agree. But that means the water drop could fall in the other side next time with literally no change.

quote:

What did we do with all that talent: ZERO BCS bowl wins. I didn't just say National titles, I said BCS bowls. Think about that for a second.

OK, and what's the biggest factor in that? I would say it's the arbitrary rule preventing the SEC from getting more than two teams in there. The reason Oregon has more BCS wins than we do is that they have a far easier path to getting a bid. We're in a conference with three of the best programs in the nation over the past decade, plus another three or four top 15 programs.

quote:

LSU is not in a vacuum. Other teams are obviously rising to the occasion as of late with LESS NFL talent.

Exactly. Which is why I evaluate our performance in the context it happened, not removing it from said context. Louisville has more BCS wins over the past three years. Think they are a better program? Because I wouldn't trade with them on a bet.
quote:

So what makes the REAL difference?

Timing, scheduling, luck, and perception. But the gap is small, so why panic?
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