great points. i agree all around. i was actually doing a little bit of research on quarter scores (for shits) the other day, and I noticed 3rd and 2nd Q were pretty bad, but i didn't notice that the 2nd Q was actually worse. very interesting.

i think the 3Q issues are a bit more magnified because of the halftime break...you know, like when a team starts off a game crappy you are more likely to notice it than if they play, say, then 10-3 minute mark crappy in the 2nd Q. just kinda how i feel about it.

quote:
It's interesting that 3Q collapses happen a good more often at home, while 2Q collapses happen more often on the road.

To me, this says that the collapse is going to happen, but it's just a matter of when. At home, they hold out longer due to home court advantage. It's a working theory at this point.

100% agree with that.

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Posted by 42

Member since Apr 2012

3703 posts

Posted on 1/4/13 at 10:47 am to quail man

1) Looks like you found a way around one rewrite filter.

2) I think you are right about it seeming magnified.

3) The 3Q is actually more correlated to victory for us than any other season, even when looking at our performances as winning or losing the quarter. In fact, we win half our games where we win the 3Q (6-6). We are 1-18 when we lose it (if I remember right), and in the 1 we lost the quarter by 1. I read this as "Having our starters match theirs is the best chance at victory" (duh!), and the game then boils down to how the backups play. half the time they do well, half the time not . . . which is amazing, frankly.

ETA: Starters, high minute guys, whatever. I don't think being on the court at the tip confers special powers or acknowledges greatness, but that's just me.

This post was edited on 1/4/13 at 10:50 am

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