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re: NFL Week 5 Betting Thread

Posted on 10/7/12 at 6:51 pm to
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47183 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 6:51 pm to
quote:

It just pick sides or totals too?



Mostly trust the sides.

He bases total plays on scoring offense home/away and scoring defense home/away.

As for sides:

Compare Team Total Ratings between opponents. If one is a 3:1 ratio over their opponent (Chicago V Jax, Minnesota v. Tennessee and Houston v. NYJets) it's a large play. If the difference between the team rating totals is 3-6 points or greater off the spread, it becomes a small play/lean.

Don't forget to add 1 point for a team total rating when they are the home team.

Here is the site if you guys are interested in paying for the updates:

[link=(www.nfl-blacklisted-spreadhseet.com)]LINK[/link]
This post was edited on 10/7/12 at 6:55 pm
Posted by Hogkiller10
LP
Member since Jan 2010
1530 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 6:57 pm to
quote:

Mostly trust the sides.


Where do you apply the spread? Even if there is a 5:1 ratio but the spread is 30, is that still a good play? Im just trying to figure out where to put the spread
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