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Message
re: NFL Betting Week 15
Posted on 12/18/11 at 1:33 am to CE Tiger
Posted on 12/18/11 at 1:33 am to CE Tiger
Twitter plays? fricking stupid. I tail some hot cappers from time to time, but it's all about doing your homework and knowing your shite. You cam make a pretty penny if you're truly an avid sports fan
ETA: i've came to the conclusion that teasers and parlays arent the way to go AT ALL, especially NFL. Only straight bets in the NFL for me
ETA: i've came to the conclusion that teasers and parlays arent the way to go AT ALL, especially NFL. Only straight bets in the NFL for me
This post was edited on 12/18/11 at 1:36 am
Posted on 12/18/11 at 1:39 am to Flatt2Flowers04
yea i havent done a teaser in about 4 weeks but feel id love a few games alot more given 3 pts so figured what the hell
Posted on 12/18/11 at 7:31 am to Flatt2Flowers04
quote:
Twitter plays? fricking stupid. I tail some hot cappers from time to time, but it's all about doing your homework and knowing your shite. You cam make a pretty penny if you're truly an avid sports fan
He's hitting just under 72% historically. Are there times when his system hits a bad skid? Yes. I guarantee you aren't hitting at his rate but good luck making your "bar tab and weed money" as you say...
Posted on 12/18/11 at 7:39 am to ChemE in the OP
First play of the day - Kansas City +14.5
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconcheers.gif)
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconcheers.gif)
Posted on 12/18/11 at 7:46 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
Kansas City +14.5
Can you explain your reasoning for this one? Or is it just a twitter pick?
Posted on 12/18/11 at 7:51 am to Lee to Toliver
It's a @so_money_pick but what he does is he waits for Joe public to bet lines across key numbers in combination with buying on teams the public is overly low against.
In this case Joe public is screaming "packers win by 30!" when in reality teams rarely cover by more than 2 TDs at Arrowhead. This last week has been the typical situation where a few favorites when big and Joe public starts to think they're Gods gift to handicapping. Regression to the mean will occur soon.
In this case Joe public is screaming "packers win by 30!" when in reality teams rarely cover by more than 2 TDs at Arrowhead. This last week has been the typical situation where a few favorites when big and Joe public starts to think they're Gods gift to handicapping. Regression to the mean will occur soon.
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:00 am to ChemE in the OP
saints -7. no AP. Brees in a dome. not much more to say.
#lock
#bar&weed_money
#winnar
#lock
#bar&weed_money
#winnar
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:28 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
Are there times when his system hits a bad skid?
Keep on posting em..........don't listen to the folks here, after watching for a few weeks the guy definitely has the knack for picking some good ones. I actually just signed up for twitter this week just so that I could follow him.
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:39 am to TJG210
quote:
saints -7. no AP. Brees in a dome. not much more to say.
AP active.
The hell do you all make of the GB KC line move? All the way down to 11.
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:40 am to CE Tiger
quote:
saints -7. no AP. Brees in a dome. not much more to say.
I'm definitely jumping on this one too....What else you looking at CE?
Titans -6.5 at the Colts is tempting.....
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:43 am to supadave3
I acutally like colts +7 today, believe it or not orlovsky has been playin good ball.
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:48 am to tigerNation09
quote:
I acutally like colts +7 today, believe it or not orlovsky has been playin good
Do you like them enough to bet on them, or just like them enough to stay away from the Titans?
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:50 am to supadave3
Big time STEAM on Kansas City this morning. Down to 11.5 to 12.5 most offshore sites. We'll see if it works out.
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:52 am to jdutto3
quote:
The hell do you all make of the GB KC line move? All the way down to 11.
Sharps hit it hard this morning. Value's gone now.
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:52 am to supadave3
right now, I got the following on the books:
New Orleans Saints -7 vs Minnesota Vikings
Tennessee Titans -6½ vs Indianapolis Colts
a little 3 game parlay just for kicks:
New York Giants -5½ vs Washington Redskins
Green Bay Packers -12½ vs Kansas City Chiefs
Detroit Lions -2½ vs Oakland Raiders
But moreso than all this, I need to win my fantasy game today for a spot in our Super BOwl. Winning our Super bowl earns a $1000 pot and 2nd place takes home $250. GEAUX PALLBEARERS!!!
New Orleans Saints -7 vs Minnesota Vikings
Tennessee Titans -6½ vs Indianapolis Colts
a little 3 game parlay just for kicks:
New York Giants -5½ vs Washington Redskins
Green Bay Packers -12½ vs Kansas City Chiefs
Detroit Lions -2½ vs Oakland Raiders
But moreso than all this, I need to win my fantasy game today for a spot in our Super BOwl. Winning our Super bowl earns a $1000 pot and 2nd place takes home $250. GEAUX PALLBEARERS!!!
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:54 am to supadave3
rookie QB against mathis and dwight = not good. you never know, i just have a feeling that they shock the world today and probably win the game.
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:55 am to supadave3
quote:
.What else you looking at CE?
still not sure. lines are real tight this week.
may make a play on the under for buff/miami.
like panthers and may throw some money on the money line as well
bengals may buy a point and get it at 6.5
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:56 am to ChemE in the OP
I might not be hitting on 72% but I can promise you it's not far off. Tweet away, sunshine.
CHECK
quote:
Saints -7 in a dome
CHECK
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:58 am to Flatt2Flowers04
quote:
Sharps hit it hard this morning. Value's gone now.
On KC, yeah. Tempting to take GB now though going against sharps is not a long term strategy for success. Guess I will stay away.
Posted on 12/18/11 at 10:58 am to CE Tiger
quote:
make a play on the under for buff/miami.
I looked at that but I worry about the fact that they fired their coach....Never know how they are going to respond to that....Just an added wild card in the mix to worry about
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