re: 1997 Baseball Analogy

if you're serious with that post, my guess is that you put a lot of importance on history, which, as with stocks, does not guarantee future performance. And you, my friend, must be looking at the 100+ year history to make the statement you did.

Looking at recent history, while still a poor indicator of future performance, would be a better predictive indicator for you, assuming you want to use "history" as a predictor.

And recent history has LSU beating Alabama the last 7 out of 9 games, or 10 out of the last 15.